Friday, 21 February 2020

Fantasy Update: Last-minute Chicago lineup advice – NASCAR

Fantasy Update: Last-minute Chicago lineup advice – NASCAR
15 Jan

Austin Dillon has earned the pole for the Camping World 400 at Chicagoland Speedway on Sunday (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio). Does he merit a spot in your Fantasy Live lineup? We’ve dissected the numbers to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live consideration.

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RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race day at Chicagoland:
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Denny Hamlin
3. Alex Bowman
4. Kyle Larson
5. Brad Keselowski
Garage: Jimmie Johnson

RELATED: Odds for Chicagoland | 10-lap averages | Weekend preview

Analysis: Harvick has looked like the driver to beat this weekend and he has a solid Chicagoland history. I’m in on him regardless of uses — this is one of his best tracks left and I don’t want to miss out. Hamlin has been the best in the Toyota camp so far and I’m in a good spot on uses here — five left — so he’s in. Bowman has been pretty impressive this weekend with the best 15-lap average in final practice (h/t @SteveLetarte) and the best 10-lap average in opening practice. Larson has the long-run speed, loves the top at this track and has a strong history here. To me, Keselowski is lurking. The averages aren’t great, but I’m trusting the comfort he has here and his 1.5-mile wins in 2019 — that Kansas win seemed to come on a relatively pedestrian weekend for him. Johnson gets the garage spot, because his lap averages stood out to me and usage-wise, he’s worth the flier. If he can nab some decent stage points, the play will have been worth it.

For the bonus picks, I like Harvick to win Stage 1 and Stage 2, but Elliott to score the win.

Each week in this space, we’ll also highlight two Props Challenge items for players.

MORE: Need Props help? The Action Network has you covered | Play the Props Challenge today

1. Which driver scores more points in this race: Ryan Blaney or Erik Jones? Both drivers have been very up-and-down. Blaney has the better starting spot and seems to be emerging from a mid-spring funk with a solid showing last weekend at Sonoma. That makes me lean toward YRB for this prop.

2. O/U 33.5 stage points for Joe Gibbs Racing. I figured going into this weekend that either Kyle Busch or Martin Truex Jr. was a lock to score a stage win. But with just one of the four cars to line up inside the top 10, I like the under here. I’d still expect Busch and Truex to get stage points, but not the volume I anticipated going into the weekend. Hamlin could be a team leader at the green-checkered flag, and Jones will have his work cut out to earn some stage points.



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