Wednesday, 16 October 2019

Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond: 2019 NASCAR® FANTASY DRIVER RANKINGS – DraftKings Playbook

Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond: 2019 NASCAR® FANTASY DRIVER RANKINGS – DraftKings Playbook
19 Sep

NASCAR Indianapolis Auto Racing

Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary.)

1. Kyle Busch ($12,000) – Thirty laps into the spring Richmond race, Kyle Busch passed Kevin Harvick for the lead. This was one of two legit on track passes for the lead during the entire race. Busch ran away from the field in the first two stages, but was buried by a questionable speeding penalty. (5.5 fppk)

2. Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,100) – Always play Truex in Richmond night races. NASCAR added more downforce at the short tracks, but the horsepower is basically the same. There might be more dirty air in this package, but the guys that know the rhythm of Richmond all performed well in the spring race. (5.1 fppk)

3. Joey Logano ($10,200) – “I figured something out there at the end. With 10 laps left, I knew how to get some speed.” That was Joey Logano in a post-race interview at Richmond. Logano ran down Truex, but he ran out of laps at the end. (4.6 fppk)

4. Brad Keselowski ($9,800) – Keselowski had a top 5 car, and at times was the best on the track. He passed Truex for the lead, but his speed took its toll on the car. Keselowski abused his brakes to the point the glowing red rotors increased the tire pressure and made his car too tight. (4.3 fppk)

5. Clint Bowyer ($8,600) – The spring Fox broadcast is guilty of fixating the camera on the leaders and never showing any other cars. It’s possibly one of the worst NASCAR broadcasts ever. In stage 3, Bowyer suddenly appeared in the top 5 and on the TV screen. As lappers blocked Truex, Bowyer ran him down, but was unable to overcome the dirty air to take the lead. (3.1 fppk)

6. Denny Hamlin ($10,600) – If you have time, go to YouTube and watch the spring Richmond race. Count how many times Denny Hamlin is mentioned during the broadcast. Not once is the #11 car the focus of the camera. That’s odd considering he finished 5th. (4.6 fppk)

7. Kevin Harvick ($11,500) – Pole position has not meant much for Kevin Harvick this season. In the 2019 package, track position and dirty air mean everything, but the pole hasn’t helped Harvick. He started on the pole at Richmond and faded to 5th, then he hung on to that spot for the rest of the race. (4.3 fppk)

8. Kurt Busch ($9,000) – The #1 team could not get the setup right in the first spring race. Busch started each run too loose, and through the course of a run he got too tight. During each pit stop, the team tried to adjust the setup, but to no avail. (4.0 fppk)

9. Kyle Larson ($9,600) – Early in the season, everything went wrong for Larson. He was fast in practice, but he never got a chance to show off his speed in the race. At the beginning of stage 2, Daniel Hemric slammed into Larson’s fender. Soon thereafter a tire rub sent Larson into the wall. (4.1 fppk)

10. Chase Elliott ($9,400) – In the spring race, Elliott started deep in the field. He raced his way to 15th, but no further. That finish seems disappointing for Elliott, but all of the drivers remarked how challenging the dirty air was throughout the field. (4.4 fppk)

11. Erik Jones ($9,200) – His Richmond race was a carbon copy of Chase Elliott’s race. Both failed inspection, and easily drove into the teens, but stopped there. As Kyle Busch and Jeff Gordon explained during the broadcast, the cars in the top 10 were static; they were all running the same lap times. (4.1 fppk)

12. Daniel Suarez ($7,200) – The key to Richmond is unloading fast. There is always a tight practice schedule at Richmond, and there isn’t enough time to make drastic setup changes. Saurez started in the back, but finished stage 1 in 10th place. He’ll unload fast again. (4.3 fppk)

13. Aric Almirola ($7,800) – A handful of cars failed inspection in the spring Richmond race. Almriola was one of the cheapest of the lot. He was chalky and lived up to it until he earned a pass through penalty late in the race. Failing inspection leads to a bad pit stall, and that leads to pit road penalties. (3.5 fppk)

14. Paul Menard ($6,900) – Richmond is a rhythm track, and Menard likes rhythm tracks. In the spring race, he started 9th, ran 9th, and finished 10th. The same scenario could unfold again this weekend, and most DFS players will be scared away by his starting position, but his starting position is an asset in a dirty air race. (4.1 fppk)

15. Chris Buescher ($7,000) – In stage 1 and stage 2, Buecher surprisingly had a top 10 car. Normally, he struggles at Richmond. When he lost track position in stage 3, he began to look like his normal self and finished 22nd. (4.6 fppk)

16. Alex Bowman ($8,400) – Richmond wasn’t a good or bad race for Bowman. The spring Richmond race was the race before Alex Bowman started his hot streak at Talladega. (4.5 fppk)

17. William Byron ($8,200) – How about these numbers. Byron started 13th, his average running position was 13th, and he finished 13th. That’s a pretty uneventful day, but that’s what the sophomore driver is looking for this weekend. (4.5 fppk)

18. Ryan Newman ($8,000) – Tell me if you seen this movie before. Newman starts around 20th, and slowly creeps his way forward. By the end of the race, he’s in the top 10. No one knows how he got there, but everyone shrugs their shoulders and says, “It’s Newman.” (4.9 fppk)

19. Jimmie Johnson ($7,600) – Don’t sleep on Johnson this weekend. He had a pretty good car in the spring race. Johnson started in the back after failing inspection, but he was able to race his way to a 12th place finish. (3.3 fppk)

20. Ryan Blaney ($8,800) – This is Blaney’s worst track; the stats back it up. Blaney’s crew chief says that Blaney’s “Hard on the gas, hard on the brakes” driving style is not suited for Richmond. (4.3 fppk)

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.



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